The Bank of England has raised interest rates for the first time since August 2023. We examine the latest mortgage rate predictions for 2026 and 2027, and what the outlook means if you’re buying or remortgaging.

KEY INFORMATION
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Your home may be repossessed if you do not keep up repayments on your mortgage. Please note some branches of Mortgage Advice Bureau may charge a fee for mortgage advice if you go direct. The fee is up to 1% but a typical fee is 0.3% of the amount borrowed. So make sure you use this site, this form or phone number for fee-free advice.
| Latest mortgage market update (9 November 2026) | Latest |
|---|---|
| Bank of England base rate | 4%. Increased from 3.75% on 5 November. |
| Average 2 year fixed rate | 5.96% |
| Average 5 year fixed rate | 5.99% |
| Economists’ expectations | Financial markets have priced in three further rate rises during 2027. Economists generally expect fewer increases, with some predicting another rise in February followed by cuts later in the year. |
| Next Bank of England decision | 17 December 2026 |
| Interest rate outlook | Andrew Bailey has signalled another rise may be needed, but has cautioned against expecting a long series of increases. Economists generally expect fewer rises than financial markets have priced in. |

Our Mortgage Expert Sarah Tucker said on 5 November 2026: “If you’re on a tracker mortgage linked to the Bank Rate, your rate will rise in line with today’s increase, so your monthly payments will go up. For borrowers on fixed rate mortgages things work differently: they’re influenced by swap rates and market expectations, so lenders can change them before a Bank of England decision. Further rate rises – including this one – have been priced in already, which is one reason fixed rate mortgages sit higher.“
“While future bank rate rises are expected before summer next year, no one knows exactly how many increases there will be or how quickly they might happen. The one silver lining is that last week’s Budget hasn’t caused the market disruption some feared, which is welcome. Swap rates have eased from their recent highs, although they remain above where they were a month ago.“
“But there are always external factors impacting the markets and the mortgage rates homeowners will pay. Recent government advice for homeowners to stockpile supplies in case of severe weather or cyber attacks is a reminder that we can’t control everything happening in the wider world. What we can do is get organised with our mortgage and seek advice early, rather than leave it until the last minute.”
Experts had predicted that the brighter rate outlook forecast prior to the Middle East conflict would see more base rate cuts in 2026. Had this happened, it was predicted that fixed mortgage rates could fall to 3.20-3.30% and there was even some speculation fixed mortgage rates close to 3% may have been a reality.
However, the recent unrest has ripped up those forecasts in the near term and underlines the risks in pinning hopes on market predictions, say experts. Instead, it’s advisable to shop around as normal and then keep rates under review as you near completion. That protects against any rise but allows you to move to a lower rate if they do drop.
Looking further ahead, mortgage rate predictions for 2027 are very difficult to make due to the varying factors that influence what happens with mortgage rates, including what the Bank of England decides to do with interest rates.
Predicting mortgage rates over the next couple of years has become more difficult. Recent events in the Middle East have pushed up oil and gas prices and caused financial markets to reassess the outlook for interest rates, making the outlook for 2026 and 2027 more uncertain.
Based on market expectations and economists’ forecasts in early November 2026:
It’s easy to assume fixed mortgage rates move in line with the Bank of England base rate. In practice, fixed rates are driven mainly by market expectations about where interest rates are heading.
The key factors are:
We regularly review the latest forecasts from economists, lenders and financial markets, together with Bank of England guidance and market data, to explain what could happen to mortgage rates.
Get fee-free mortgage advice from the award-winning expert advisers at Mortgage Advice Bureau.
For many borrowers, 2026 could be a good time to remortgage, but it will depend on your personal circumstances. Here’s what you need to consider:
The best mortgage depends on your personal circumstances. The award-winning expert advisers at Mortgage Advice Bureau will find the right mortgage for you.
Get fee-free mortgage advice from the award-winning expert advisers at Mortgage Advice Bureau.
Your home may be repossessed if you do not keep up repayments on your mortgage. Please note some branches of Mortgage Advice Bureau may charge a fee for mortgage advice if you go direct. The fee is up to 1% but a typical fee is 0.3% of the amount borrowed. So make sure you use this site, this form or phone number for fee-free advice.
The conflict in the Middle East has had a major impact on interest rate predictions in the UK.
Interest rate predictions are notoriously difficult at the best of times, but the complexity of the current situation in the Middle East makes it even harder. Forecasts for what’s next for interest rates vary considerably.
Here is a selection of economists’ UK interest rate forecasts for 2026 and 2027, published before the 5 November decision:
However, what happens with interest rates in 2026 will depend on numerous factors. You can keep up to date by bookmarking our guide to best mortgage rates in the UK or signing up to our weekly newsletter.
Shorter mortgages are becoming more popular, according to research by MoneyFacts. It found the number of people comparing 2 year fixed rate mortgages increased from 48.4% in February 2026 to 55.6% in May 2026, while demand for 5 year fixed deals fell from 27.7% to 21.8% over the same time. Searches for 10 year fixed rate mortgages also eased, falling from 6.5% to 4.5%.
Whether a 2 or 5 year fixed rate mortgage is best for you will depend on your circumstances.
Get fee-free mortgage advice from the award-winning expert advisers at Mortgage Advice Bureau.
Choosing between a fixed mortgage, where you’ll pay a fixed rate for a set length of time, or a tracker mortgage where the amount you’ll pay will go up and down in line with the base rate, may seem like a tricky decision. You may also consider a discounted mortgage, this will track below the lender’s standard variable rate.
Example:
In November 2026, one of the lowest rates on a 5 year fixed rate mortgage is from Halifax at 4.78% (plus mortgage fees), available at up to 60% LTV. On a £200,000 mortgage over 30 years, monthly payments in the initial term would be £1,047.
Example:
A leading 5-year tracker in November 2026 is base + 0.60%. Before the interest rate rise on 5 November, the mortgage rate was 4.35% but this increased to 4.60% following the Bank’s decision.
On a £200,000 repayment mortgage with 30 years remaining, that means monthly payments would have increased from £995.62 to £1,025.29, an extra £29.67 a month.
Here’s how payments could change if the base rate moves further:
| Bank of England base rate | Illustrative tracker rate | Monthly repayment |
| 3.50% | 4.10% | £966 |
| 3.75% | 4.35% | £996 |
| 4.00% | 4.60% | £1,025 |
| 4.25% | 4.85% | £1,055 |
These examples are illustrations and don’t include any mortgage fees.
The best mortgage depends on your personal circumstances. The award-winning expert advisers at Mortgage Advice Bureau will find the right mortgage for you.
The Bank of England sets the base rate and it’s important to homeowners because it acts as a benchmark for the cost of borrowing money. As a general rule, if interest rates fall, mortgage rates will fall too.
How changes in interest rates affect your mortgage depends on your circumstances:
If you’re shopping around for a new mortgage or want to remortgage, generally speaking, the mortgage rates available should improve if interest rates fall. Although this isn’t guaranteed as there are numerous factors that determine the rates mortgage lenders set. So it’s important to get fee-free mortgage advice to make sure you get the best mortgage deal for you.
If you’re on a fixed rate mortgage, the amount you’ll pay on your monthly mortgage payments will stay the same during your initial term – usually 2 or 5 years. So your mortgage payments won’t change if interest rates go up or down.
There are 510,000 outstanding residential tracker mortgages, according to UK Finance.
If your mortgage tracks the Bank of England base rate, November’s rise from 3.75% to 4% will increase your rate by 0.25 percentage points. Your lender will confirm when your payments change.
While if you’re on a discounted variable rate, you’ll pay a rate that’s lower than the lender’s standard variable rate. Following a base rate change, your payments will depend on whether your lender changes its SVR. It does not have to pass on the full increase or cut.
According to UK Finance, there are 470,000 households on their lender’s standard variable rate. If this includes you, your lender may increase its SVR following November’s base rate rise, but the timing and size of any change will depend on the lender.
And if you are on your lender’s SVR, you should know these rates can be extremely expensive, so check your deal now to see if you can save by remortgaging.
If you’re a landlord renting out a property, Buy to Let mortgage rates can be affected too. If you currently have a Buy to Let mortgage, whether or not you’ll be affected by interest rate changes will depend on whether you have a fixed or variable rate mortgage.
KEY INFORMATION
Stay up to date about the cheapest mortgage rates currently available with our Best mortgage rates guide.
Here are the latest UK mortgage rates if you’re looking for a 2 or 5 year fixed rate mortgage or a 2 year variable rate deal.
| Lender | Initial Rate | Fees | Monthly Payment | APRC | Annual Cost | Max LTV | Rep. Example |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halifax | 4.78% | £1,099 | £1,051 | 7.2% | £12,658 | 60% | Details |
| Danske Bank | 4.85% | £1,124 | £1,060 | 6.1% | £12,777 | 60% | Details |
| HSBC | 4.93% | £1,016 | £1,070 | 6.2% | £12,842 | 60% | Details |
| Halifax | 4.93% | £1,099 | £1,070 | 7.2% | £12,770 | 60% | Details |
| Nationwide BS | 4.94% | £1,014 | £1,072 | 6.6% | £12,861 | 60% | Details |
| Lender | Initial Rate | Fees | Monthly Payment | APRC | Annual Cost | Max LTV | Rep. Example |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halifax | 4.82% | £999 | £1,056 | 7.2% | £12,673 | 60% | Details |
| HSBC | 4.96% | £999 | £1,073 | 6.2% | £12,878 | 60% | Details |
| HSBC | 4.99% | £999 | £1,077 | 6.2% | £12,784 | 60% | Details |
| HSBC | 4.99% | £999 | £1,077 | 6.2% | £12,761 | 60% | Details |
| Nationwide BS | 4.99% | £1,014 | £1,078 | 6.6% | £12,684 | 60% | Details |
| Lender | Initial Rate | Fees | Monthly Payment | APRC | Annual Cost | Max LTV | Rep. Example |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halifax | 4.78% | £1,099 | £1,051 | 6.5% | £12,634 | 60% | Details |
| Halifax | 4.85% | £100 | £1,054 | 6.5% | £12,672 | 60% | Details |
| Barclays Bank | 4.89% | £1,004 | £1,064 | 5.6% | £12,790 | 60% | Details |
| Halifax | 4.93% | £1,099 | £1,070 | 6.6% | £12,806 | 60% | Details |
| Nationwide BS | 4.94% | £1,014 | £1,072 | 6.2% | £12,861 | 60% | Details |
| Lender | Initial Rate | Fees | Monthly Payment | APRC | Annual Cost | Max LTV | Rep. Example |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halifax | 4.85% | £999 | £1,060 | 6.6% | £12,717 | 60% | Details |
| HSBC | 5.03% | £999 | £1,082 | 6.0% | £12,981 | 60% | Details |
| Virgin Money | 5.05% | £1,024 | £1,084 | 6.2% | £13,015 | 60% | Details |
| Halifax | 5.05% | £999 | £1,084 | 6.7% | £12,964 | 60% | Details |
| HSBC | 5.06% | £999 | £1,085 | 6.0% | £12,967 | 60% | Details |
| Lender | Initial Rate | Fees | Monthly Payment | APRC | Annual Cost | Max LTV | Rep. Example |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halifax | 4.24% | £1,599 | £989 | 4.5% | £11,914 | 60% | Details |
| Barclays Bank | 4.24% | £1,104 | £987 | 5.7% | £11,894 | 60% | Details |
| NatWest | 4.33% | £1,025 | £998 | 6.7% | £11,992 | 60% | Details |
| Santander UK Plc | 4.33% | £1,224 | £997 | 6.1% | £12,081 | 60% | Details |
| Nationwide BS | 4.34% | £1,014 | £999 | 6.5% | £11,994 | 60% | Details |
| Lender | Initial Rate | Fees | Monthly Payment | APRC | Annual Cost | Max LTV | Rep. Example |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halifax | 4.24% | £1,499 | £989 | 4.5% | £11,871 | 60% | Details |
| NatWest | 4.39% | £1,025 | £1,005 | 6.7% | £11,922 | 60% | Details |
| Barclays Bank | 4.42% | £1,104 | £1,008 | 5.7% | £12,024 | 60% | Details |
| Barclays Bank | 4.42% | £1,104 | £1,008 | 5.7% | £12,149 | 60% | Details |
| Nationwide BS | 4.42% | £1,014 | £1,009 | 6.4% | £11,858 | 60% | Details |
Looking for today’s cheapest deals? Read our guide to the Best mortgage rates.
The best mortgage depends on your personal circumstances. The award-winning expert advisers at Mortgage Advice Bureau will find the right mortgage for you.
Get fee-free mortgage advice from the award-winning expert advisers at Mortgage Advice Bureau.
Your home may be repossessed if you do not keep up repayments on your mortgage. Please note some branches of Mortgage Advice Bureau may charge a fee for mortgage advice if you go direct. The fee is up to 1% but a typical fee is 0.3% of the amount borrowed. So make sure you use this site, this form or phone number for fee-free advice.
| Year | 2 year fix | 3 year fix | 5 year fix | 2 year variable |
| 2000 | 6.50% | 6.20% | 6.00% | 6.30% |
| 2001 | 5.80% | 5.60% | 5.50% | 5.70% |
| 2002 | 5.20% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 5.10% |
| 2003 | 4.80% | 4.60% | 4.50% | 4.60% |
| 2004 | 4.50% | 4.30% | 4.30% | 4.20% |
| 2005 | 4.40% | 4.20% | 4.20% | 4.10% |
| 2006 | 4.60% | 4.40% | 4.40% | 4.30% |
| 2007 | 5.00% | 4.80% | 4.80% | 4.70% |
| 2008 | 6.00% | 5.80% | 5.70% | 5.60% |
| 2009 | 4.00% | 3.80% | 3.70% | 3.60% |
| 2010 | 3.50% | 3.30% | 3.30% | 3.20% |
| 2011 | 3.80% | 3.60% | 3.50% | 3.40% |
| 2012 | 3.60% | 3.40% | 3.40% | 3.20% |
| 2013 | 3.50% | 3.30% | 3.30% | 3.10% |
| 2014 | 3.40% | 3.20% | 3.20% | 3.00% |
| 2015 | 3.20% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 2.80% |
| 2016 | 3.10% | 2.90% | 2.80% | 2.60% |
| 2017 | 3.00% | 2.80% | 2.70% | 2.50% |
| 2018 | 2.90% | 2.70% | 2.60% | 2.40% |
| 2019 | 2.80% | 2.60% | 2.50% | 2.30% |
| 2020 | 2.70% | 2.50% | 2.40% | 2.20% |
| 2021 | 2.60% | 2.40% | 2.30% | 2.10% |
| 2022 | 3.50% | 3.30% | 3.20% | 3.10% |
| 2023 | 3.50% | 4.80% | 4.70% | 4.60% |
| 2024 | 4.70% | 4.50% | 4.40% | 4.30% |
| 2025 | 4.90% | 4.09% | 4.50% | 5.20% |
The wider global context and economic factors have an impact on mortgage rates in the UK in a number of ways, for example:
In summary: Global forces like energy prices and US monetary policy can lead to UK mortgage rates going up or down, and these factors can change quickly.
KEY INFORMATION
Get fee-free remortgage advice from the award-winning expert advisers at Mortgage Advice Bureau.
Get fee-free remortgage advice from the award-winning expert advisers at Mortgage Advice Bureau.
If you’re coming off a 2 year fixed rate mortgage, average mortgage rates are higher than two years ago. The average 2 year fixed mortgage rate at the start of November 2024 was 5.39%, according to Moneyfacts. By comparison, the average on 2 November 2026, was 5.97%.
Here’s how much you’ll pay at these rates in the initial term if you borrow £200,000 over 30 years:
| Monthly payment at November 2024’s average rate of 5.39% | Monthly payment at the latest average rate of 5.97% | Extra cost per month |
|---|---|---|
| £1,122 | £1,195 | £73 |
| Mortgage balance | Mortgage payment at November 2024’s average rate of 5.39% | Mortgage payment at November 2026’s average rate of 5.97% |
| £100,000 | £561 | £598 |
| £150,000 | £841 | £896 |
| £200,000 | £1,122 | £1,195 |
| £300,000 | £1,683 | £1,793 |
FCA figures show that nearly 1 million 5 year fixed deals that were taken out in 2021 when rates were ultra-cheap, will end in 2026.
The average 5 year fixed rate mortgage in November 2021 was 2.59%. By comparison, the average 5 year fixed rate mortgage on 2 November 2026 was 6.00%.
Here’s an illustration of how much you’ll pay at these rates if you borrow £200,000 over 30 years.
| Mortgage payment at November 2021’s average rate of 2.59% | Mortgage payment at November 2026’s average rate 6.00% | How much more you’ll pay each month |
| £800 | £1,199 | £399 |
But if you do nothing and roll onto your lender’s standard variable rate (SVR), which averaged 7.13% in November 2026, you could pay much more.
Here’s how much you’ll pay on a £200,000 mortgage over 30 years at 7.13%, compared to if you remortgage at November 2026’s average 5 year fix rate of 6.00%.
| Mortgage payment at November 2026’s average rate of 6.00% | Mortgage payment at an SVR of 7.13% | How much more you’ll pay each month on the SVR |
|---|---|---|
| £1,199 | £1,348 | £149 |
| Mortgage balance | Mortgage payment at November 2021’s average rate of 2.59% | Mortgage payment at November 2026’s average rate of 6.00% |
| £100,000 | £400 | £600 |
| £150,000 | £600 | £899 |
| £200,000 | £800 | £1,199 |
| £300,000 | £1,200 | £1,799 |
These tables are based on average rates. The mortgage rate you may get access to will depend on your circumstances so speak to an expert mortgage broker and they’ll find the best deal for you.
Get fee-free mortgage advice from the award-winning expert advisers at Mortgage Advice Bureau.
Use this mortgage cost calculator to work out the estimated cost of your mortgage at different rates.
Paula Higgins, CEO of HomeOwners Alliance, said:

“If we’ve learned one thing in recent years it’s that no one really knows what’s going to happen next with mortgage rates.
“So don’t delay taking action. If your current deal ends in the next few months, get fee-free advice from a mortgage broker who will find the best mortgage deal for you. Then after you lock in a rate they can then keep the rate under review in case a better deal comes up before you need to switch.
“And if you’re coming off a cheap fixed rate, don’t let the higher mortgage rates available today put you off remortgaging: if you do nothing when your current mortgage deal ends and roll onto your lender’s standard variable rate you could end up paying hundreds of pounds more each month on your mortgage, depending on your circumstances.”
Get fee-free remortgage advice from the award-winning expert advisers at Mortgage Advice Bureau.
Your home may be repossessed if you do not keep up repayments on your mortgage. Please note some branches of Mortgage Advice Bureau may charge a fee for mortgage advice if you go direct. The fee is up to 1% but a typical fee is 0.3% of the amount borrowed. So make sure you use this site, this form or phone number for fee-free advice.
Mortgage rates rose sharply earlier in October before average fixed rates stabilised. Some lenders have since cut selected deals, while others have increased rates.
The Bank of England increased the base rate to 4% on 5 November. The rise was widely expected and already largely reflected in fixed mortgage pricing, so it does not automatically mean new fixed rates will increase.
What happens next will depend partly on whether expectations change about further base rate rises in 2027.
If you’re waiting to buy your first home, our first time buyer mortgages guide explains how deposits, affordability and mortgage applications work.
KEY INFORMATION
The Office for Budget Responsibility’s October 2026 forecast projects that the average interest rate paid across outstanding mortgages will rise from 4% in 2026 to around 5% in 2031.
This increase is due to more households coming off cheap fixed rate deals and needing to move onto more expensive rates.
This is different from a forecast of the rates available on new mortgage deals. The forecast was published before the Bank of England’s 5 November rate decision.
Waiting for mortgage rates to go down before getting a mortgage can be risky for a number of reasons.
So if your current mortgage deal ends in the next 6 months, and certainly if it ends in the next 4 months, you should start the remortgage process now instead of waiting in case mortgage rates go down.
By locking in a rate now you can keep it under review in case a better deal comes up before you switch to your new deal. Get fee-free mortgage advice from the award-winning expert advisers at Mortgage Advice Bureau.
Product transfers are predicted to be increasingly common in 2026. UK Finance, the trade body which represents the banks, said it expects product transfers will grow by 13% this year. Here’s what you should consider when deciding whether to remortgage with a different lender or your existing one.
| Switching lenders | Staying with current lender | |
|---|---|---|
| Can you access the best mortgage rates for you? | Yes | Not necessarily. You’ll be limited to the rates your lender offers |
| Do you need a mortgage valuation? | Yes. You may need to pay for it | No |
| Is there legal work involved? | Yes. You may need to pay for it | No |
| Is there an affordability check? | Yes | Not usually if you’re borrowing the same amount for the same term |
| How quick is the process? | Allow 3 months | Generally around a week |
When it comes to deciding whether to switch lenders or stay with your current one, make sure you get advice. Speak to a mortgage broker and they’ll find the best deal for your circumstances.
Use this mortgage cost calculator to see instantly how much more or less you’ll pay on your mortgage if interest rates increase or decrease.
The best mortgage depends on your personal circumstances. The award-winning expert advisers at Mortgage Advice Bureau will find the right mortgage for you.
Get fee-free mortgage advice from the award-winning expert advisers at Mortgage Advice Bureau.
Early house price predictions for 2026 suggest an increase in house prices of 0% – 2%. Read more in our guide House price predictions 2026: How much will prices go up by?
Stay up to date with what’s happening with house prices in our monthly House Price Watch.
The mortgage rate you’re offered will depend on your personal circumstances as well as what’s happening in the wider mortgage market. Key factors include:
Yes, it’s always worth speaking to a mortgage broker:
If you’re currently on a cheap fixed rate mortgage, these mortgage rate predictions may understandably make you feel quite anxious because you’ll likely have to pay a higher rate on your next mortgage.
The average rate on a 5 year fix in early November 2026 was 6.00% which is much higher than the average rate on a 5 year fix in November 2021, which was 2.59%.
So if you’re currently on a cheap fix, here’s what to do:
Get fee-free mortgage advice from the award-winning expert advisers at Mortgage Advice Bureau. Compare deals or speak to an adviser today.
Get fee-free mortgage advice from the award-winning expert advisers at Mortgage Advice Bureau.
Your home may be repossessed if you do not keep up repayments on your mortgage. Please note some branches of Mortgage Advice Bureau may charge a fee for mortgage advice if you go direct. The fee is up to 1% but a typical fee is 0.3% of the amount borrowed. So make sure you use this site, this form or phone number for fee-free advice.
If you’re struggling to pay your mortgage you should get help as soon as possible. You’ll find useful advice on the government-backed MoneyHelper website:
When it comes to changes in interest rates, other types of borrowing are affected in a similar way. If interest rates go up, borrowing of any type generally gets more expensive, while when interest rates are cut, borrowing generally gets cheaper. However, this is in general terms as the amount you’ll pay on things like credit cards and loans will depend on a number of factors including your credit history.
When interest rates go down, lenders usually reduce the amount of interest they’ll pay on savings accounts.
In recent years, the UK has had one of the highest interest rates in the G7. The European Central Bank (ECB) started to cut its main interest rate for the eurozone in June 2024 from an all-time high of 4%. After a series of cuts it reached 2% in June 2025. However, in June 2026, the ECB raised rates to 2.25% as it reacted to the Iran war, before raising them again to 2.5% in September, reports the BBC.
While the US’s central bank, the Federal Reserve, raised rates for the first time in more than three years in September 2026. Rates were hiked to 3.75%-4% from 3.5%-3.75%
At HomeOwners Alliance the best mortgage rates in our tables are from mortgage brokers Mortgage Advice Bureau and updated regularly. These best mortgage rates do not take into account fees and are for illustration only. The average mortgage rate figures we use are from sources including Rightmove and Moneyfacts.
Mortgage Advice Bureau searches over 100 lenders so you don’t have to.
Get fee-free mortgage advice from the award-winning expert advisers at Mortgage Advice Bureau.
The Bank of England sets the base rate, which acts as a benchmark for the cost of borrowing money. Changes directly affect mortgages that track the base rate. Fixed mortgage rates are influenced by expectations for future interest rates, so they can change before a Bank decision and won’t necessarily move in the same direction on the day.
The current Bank of England base rate is 4%, following an increase from 3.75% on 5 November 2026. The next interest rate decision is due on 17 December 2026.
The average SVR in October 2026 is 7.13%. However, SVRs vary widely by lender. For example Newcastle Building Society’s SVR is currently 6.31% while Aldermore’s SVR is 8.38%.
Lenders may change their SVRs following the base rate rise.
The Bank of England increased UK interest rates as it tried to get surging inflation down to the government’s target of 2%.
This remains unclear. Following November’s increase to 4%, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey has indicated another rise may be needed. However, he has cautioned against expecting a long series of increases. Some economists forecast cuts later in 2027, but this will depend on inflation, energy prices and the wider economy. Read more in our guide Bank of England cut interest rates?
The higher your mortgage rate, the more expensive your monthly mortgage payments will be and the more expensive your mortgage will be overall. The mortgage rate you’ll get access to is set by your lender and will be based on several factors including economic conditions, the Bank of England base rate, the size of your deposit (your loan to value ratio) your personal and financial circumstances (including your credit history) and type of mortgage you choose.
Some lenders have cut selected fixed deals in recent days and average fixed rates have edged down slightly. The latest Moneyfacts figures reported before the 5 November Bank of England decision put average 2 and 5 year fixed rates at 5.97% and 5.99% respectively. These are small reductions after sharp increases in September and early October.
Some fixed mortgage rates have edged down after recent increases, but there is no guarantee they will fall further before the end of 2026. November’s base rate rise to 4% was widely expected and already largely reflected in fixed pricing. What happens next will depend partly on expectations for further interest rate changes and competition between lenders.
Borrowers whose mortgages track the base rate will see their rates rise following the Bank of England’s increase to 4% on 5 November.
Fixed rate mortgages work differently. Some lenders have cut selected fixed deals in recent days and average rates have edged down slightly after earlier increases. Further rises remain possible, but a base rate increase does not automatically push up new fixed mortgage rates.
The outlook is uncertain. Following November’s base rate rise to 4%, economists remain divided about how many further increases will follow. Fixed mortgage rates could fall if expectations for future interest rates ease, but could rise if the outlook worsens. Tracker rates linked to the Bank of England’s base rate will move in line with any further interest rate changes.
Not sure what some of the terms mean? Here’s a quick guide to the most common mortgage phrases you’ll come across when comparing the best mortgage rates.
| Term | What it is |
|---|---|
| Standard Variable Rate | The default rate you move onto when your mortgage deal ends. Usually higher and more expensive than a fixed mortgage or tracker deal. |
| ERC (Early Repayment Charge) | A fee charged by lenders if you remortgage or pay off your mortgage early, or make overpayments above your allowance during your fixed term. |
| LTV (Loan to Value) | The percentage of the property’s value you borrow. For example, a £180,000 mortgage on a £200,000 property is 90% LTV. |
| APRC (Annual Percentage Rate of Charge) | The total annual cost of your mortgage over its lifetime, including interest and fees, expressed as a percentage. Useful for comparing the best mortgage rates. |
| Bank of England base rate | The interest rate set by the Bank of England. This directly affects tracker mortgages although fixed mortgage rates are driven more by market expectations. |
| Initial interest rate | The interest rate you’ll be charged for the set period at the start of your mortgage. |
| Initial rate period | The length of your fixed or variable rate mortgage deal before you switch to the standard variable rate. |
| Mortgage term | The full length of your mortgage, including any introductory term. |
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If you take out a mortgage or protection product through Mortgage Advice Bureau, they pay us a referral fee of 25%. You are not obliged to use their services.
HomeOwners Alliance Ltd is an Introducer Appointed Representative (IAR) of LifeSearch Limited, an Appointed Representative of LifeSearch Partners Ltd, authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. (FRN: 656479).
Independent Financial Adviser service is provided by Unbiased, who match you to a fully regulated, independent financial adviser, with no charge to you for the referral.
HomeOwners Alliance Ltd is an Introducer Appointed Representative (IAR) of Fluent Money Limited, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Calls may be monitored/recorded.
HomeOwners Alliance Ltd is an Introducer Appointed Representative (IAR) of Rhino Protect Limited which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.