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Will energy prices go down in 2026?

As energy bills rise for millions of households, we explain what’s happening, whether prices are likely to come down, and how you could save money on your energy bills now.

will energy prices go down

AT A GLANCE

Key takeaway: Will energy prices go down in 2026?

  • Energy bills have increased by 13% for millions of households, after the new energy price cap came into force on 1 July.
  • The steep rise follows sharp increases in wholesale gas prices driven by the conflict in the Middle East.
  • If you’re on the energy price cap, you may be able to make significant savings on your energy bills by switching to a fixed deal, depending on the tariff you choose and how much energy you use.
  • Other tariffs are also available, such as discounted price cap tariffs, which typically offer a fixed discount on the price cap for 12 months. So compare your energy deal options today.

Use our free tool to compare energy deals and see instantly how much you could save on energy costs by switching your provider.

Will energy prices go down in 2026?

Energy bills increased by 13% for millions of households on the energy price cap, which is set by Ofgem, from 1 July 2026.

For a household with typical usage, paying by Direct Debit, it’s currently set at £1,663 a year. This figure may look lower than expected – this is because Ofgem has lowered the amount of energy it deems a typical household to use. But remember, the cap is only a limit on standing charges and gas and electricity unit rates, not a cap on how much you’ll pay.

Current forecasts suggest the energy price cap will remain around current levels for the rest of 2026, although some experts predict a small rise while others predict a slight fall. Read on for more on this. However, the outlook remains uncertain.

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Energy bills latest news: How the Middle East conflict may impact bills

  • Wholesale energy prices have increased sharply since the start of the conflict in the Middle East.
  • British households on the price cap did not see an immediate effect on their bills, because the energy price cap for April to June 2026 had already been set by Ofgem, at an average £1,477 a year.
  • However, from 1 July 2026 the energy price cap increased to £1,663, resulting in a sharp rise in bills for households on the price cap.

2026 energy price cap predictions

Here are the latest energy price cap predictions:

  • E.ON: E.ON’s energy price cap forecast made in July 2026 is for the price cap to increase slightly to £1,679 in October 2026.
  • EDF: EDF’s gas and electricity prices forecast on 30 June 2026 is for the price cap in the UK to increase to £1,670 in October 2026.
  • British Gas: British Gas’s forecast on 30 June 2026 is for the price cap in the UK to increase slightly in October 2026.
  • Cornwall Insights’ price cap prediction made on 30 June 2026 is for the price cap to fall slightly to £1,654 in October 2026.
  • In late February 2026, before the Middle East conflict started, the energy price cap was predicted to remain around April’s price cap level of £1,477 for the rest of 2026.

One way you may be able to reduce your energy bills is by fixing your energy deal.

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How accurate are these energy price cap predictions likely to be?

  • The further ahead the forecast, the less likely it is to be accurate.
  • The volatility of global events currently playing out makes it even harder to make an accurate energy price cap prediction. In fact, for a period in March 2026, British Gas stopped making predictions on what may happen with upcoming price caps due to wholesale energy prices changing every day.

Should I fix my energy deal?

If you’re on the energy price cap and you can find a fixed tariff around 10% lower (or more) than the July energy price cap, it’s likely that you could make substantial savings over the next year, depending on the tariff you choose, how long it’s fixed for, and how much energy you use.

Following July’s hike, the current predictions are that the energy price cap will remain around the same level in October and there’s not much expectation that it will fall much in January, although the outlook that far ahead is highly uncertain.

If you fix your energy deal you’ll also be protected from any future price hikes for the duration of your tariff. However, there is a risk that if energy prices fall over the term of your fixed tariff, you could end up paying more overall. So if you’re considering a fixed tariff, check any exit fees for leaving the deal early.

Alternatives to fixing

  • There are also energy deals available that track under the energy price cap or that follow the energy price cap’s unit rates but have lower standing charges.
  • So make sure you shop around and switch energy suppliers if you find a better deal.

Use our free tool to compare energy deals and see instantly how much you could save on energy costs by switching your providers.

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Compare energy deals, see how much you can save on electricity and gas, switch provider today.

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What will the impact on energy bills be?

This table illustrates how much energy prices have changed in recent months:

Time periodEnergy price cap amount
Previous cap: 1 Apr – 30 Jun 2026Down 7% to £1,477
Current cap: 1 Jul – 30 Sep 2026Up 13% to £1,663

Current energy price cap rates in July 2026

If you’re one of the 21 million households in the UK on a standard variable tariff, here’s how the new price cap will change how much you pay:

TypePrevious price cap rates from 1 Apr to 30 Jun 2026Current price cap rates from 1 July to 30 Sep 2026
GasUnit rate: avg. 5.74p per kWh Standing charge: 29.09p per dayUnit rate: avg. 7.33p per kWh Standing charge: 29.04p per day
ElectricityUnit rate: avg. 24.67p per kWh Standing charge: 57.21p per dayUnit rate: avg. 26.11p per kWh Standing charge: 57.19p per day

Am I on the energy price cap?

  • If you’re wondering if this affects you, the Ofgem price cap applies to around 21 million households on variable energy tariffs – so it sets what two thirds of homes in England and Wales will pay. You’ll know you’re affected if you are on a tariff called something like standard, flexible or variable rate rather than fixed.

How the energy price cap works 

  • The energy price cap limits the unit rates and standing charges energy suppliers can charge for their standard tariffs.
  • However, the energy price cap figure is based on the usage of a ‘typical’ household using gas and electricity and paying by Direct Debit.
  • It’s not the maximum you’ll pay. If you use more energy than a typical household, you’ll pay more than the price cap and if you use less, your bill will be lower.

Avoid rising energy prices and save money by switching to a fixed energy deal. Find out instantly how much you could save with our free switching service today

Switch energy supplier, save money

Compare energy deals, see how much you can save on electricity and gas, switch provider today.

Compare energy deals

Can I save if I switch now?

  • If you fix your energy tariff now, there are currently fixed deals available that are lower than the current price cap. Current forecasts suggest the energy price cap will remain around similar levels for the rest of 2026, although forecasts can change. So you could potentially make substantial savings compared with staying on the current energy price cap, depending on the tariff you choose and how much energy you use.
  • Whether switching to a fixed tariff is the best option for you will depend on your risk appetite and how good the deal is.
  • We’ve partnered with The Energy Shop to provide you with an instant tool for comparing tariffs.
  • It’s also a good time to check for the best deal if you’re moving house, if your current supplier has poor customer service or you want a specialist tariff such as an EV tariff.
  • When comparing deals, check how long the fixed deal lasts for and whether you’ll need to pay an exit fee if you leave early.

Paula Higgins, Chief Executive of the HomeOwners Alliance, says: “People are rightly very concerned over how much the energy price cap rose by on 1 July. We advise people to shop around and compare tariffs to ensure you’re on the best deal for you.”

Use our tool powered by The Energy Shop to compare energy suppliers to see how much you coud save by switching energy providers.

Switch energy supplier, save money

Compare energy deals, see how much you can save on electricity and gas, switch provider today.

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Standing charge changes

Can I get help with energy bills?

Yes, some help is available for energy bills. For example, individual energy companies have hardship funds. Also, if you’re a pensioner and weren’t eligible for the winter fuel allowance last year, you may be eligible this year.

In March 2026, Chancellor Rachel Reeves said the government plans to help “those who need it most” if energy bills spiral due to the Middle East conflict.

Detail of exactly who could be helped by the UK government and how remains unclear. We’ll update this page as soon as more information is released.

In June 2025, Chancellor Rachel Reeves confirmed that pensioners in England and Wales with an annual income of £35,000 or below will now be eligible – around nine million people.

More than 10 million pensioners had lost the payment, worth up to £300 last year, when it was paid only to those on pension credit. Find out more in our guide on Energy grants and how to get them.

Avoid rising energy prices by shopping around and switching to a fixed energy deal. Find out instantly how much you could save with our free switching service today

Switch energy supplier, save money

Compare energy deals, see how much you can save on electricity and gas, switch provider today.

Compare energy deals

Ofgem’s energy price cap history

Here are the historic price changes to Ofgem’s energy price cap, which shows how energy bills have increased and decreased in recent years.

Price cap periodOfgem energy price capPrice cap change vs previous period
January – March 2026£1,758+0.2%
October-December 2025£1,755+2%
July – September 2025£1,720-7%
April – June 2025£1,849+6.4%
January – March 2025£1,738+1%
October – December 2024£1,717+10%
July – September 2024£1,568-7%
April – June 2024£1,690-12%
January – March 2024£1,928+5%
October – December 2023£1,834-7%
July – September 2023£1,976-37%
April – June 2023£3,116*-23%
January – March 2023£4,059*20%
October – December 2022£3,371*80%
Summer 2022£1,87754%
Winter 2021/22£1,21612%
Summer 2021£1,0849%

Source: Ofgem data. *This was replaced by the £2,500 Energy Price Guarantee

How to keep energy bills low

Once you’ve shopped around for the best energy deal, the other way to save on energy bills is to use less. You can do this by:

  • Insulating your home: There are all sorts of ways you can make your home more energy efficient from relatively inexpensive and very effective options like installing loft insulation, to more expensive undertakings like fitting double glazing or replacing your boiler. See if you can get a grant for a boiler upgrade and whether you can access any other help with our guide on energy grants. For more information see also our guide on how to make your home more energy efficient.
  • Draught-proofing your home: Professional draught proofing of windows, doors and blocking cracks in floors and skirting boards can cost around £250, but can save around £45 a year on energy bills. DIY draught proofing can be much cheaper. For this and more affordable tips, see our guide on How to keep your house warm for less.
  • Turn down your thermostat: Turning it down by 1 degree could cut your heating bills by up to 10%. You can also cut your heating bills by installing certain heating controls. If you don’t already have a room thermostat, installing one could save up to £70 a year. And consider getting a smart thermostat, which allows you to control your heating from your smartphone or tablet.

For more ideas read our Top 10 Energy Saving Tips guide

Switch energy supplier, save money

Compare energy deals, see how much you can save on electricity and gas, switch provider today.

Compare energy deals

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