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Will energy prices go down in 2026?

Energy bills will fall for almost all households in April 2026. However, experts warn prices could shoot up again in July due to the escalating conflict in the Middle East. We explain what’s happening to the energy price cap – and how you can cut your energy bills now.

will energy prices go down

AT A GLANCE

Key takeaway: Will energy prices go down in 2026?

  • Typical energy bills will go down by 7% on 1 April 2026, when the energy price cap will fall from the current level of £1,758 to £1,641.
  • In a break from the norm, nearly everyone in England, Scotland and Wales will see bills fall from 1 April, due to changes made by the government.
  • However, energy prices are forecast to rise by around 10% in July, following sharp increases in wholesale gas prices driven by the escalating conflict in the Middle East.
  • Households are being urged to save on current energy bills and protect against future bill hikes by switching to a fixed deal. Ofgem says consumers could save £200 a year on energy bills by switching energy suppliers and fixing their deal. 

Use our free tool to compare energy deals and see instantly how much you can save on energy costs by switching your provider.

Will energy prices go down in 2026?

Yes – typical energy bills will go down by 7% when the new energy price cap, set by Ofgem, comes into force on 1 April 2026.

  • Currently, a typical annual energy bill for a dual-fuel customer paying by direct debit is £1,758. This will fall to £1,641 on 1 April.

In an unusual move, households on fixed energy deals will see price drops in April too, due to changes to policy costs announced by the government, which includes scrapping the Energy Company Obligation scheme and moving some charges onto general taxation.

These customers will be contacted by their supplier in the coming weeks about the specific change to their tariff.

But this reduction may be a brief respite because energy bills are predicted to shoot up by around 10% in July, due to the impact of the conflict in the Middle East.

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Energy bills latest news: How the Middle East conflict may impact bills

  • Wholesale energy prices have increased sharply since the start of the conflict in the Middle East. On 2 March, European gas prices surged at their fastest pace since the start of Russia’s war in Ukraine in 2022, The Telegraph reported.
  • British households on the price cap will not see an immediate effect on their bills, because the energy price cap for April to June has already been set by Ofgem, at an average £1,641.
  • However, households could be hit by a sharp rise in July.

2026 energy price cap predictions

Here are the latest energy price cap predictions:

  • E.ON: E.ON’s energy price cap forecast made in March 2026 is for the price cap to jump to £1,714 in July 2026 before nudging up again to £1,724 in October 2026.
  • EDF: EDF’s gas and electricity prices forecast on 2 March 2026 is for the price cap in the UK to increase to £1,706 in July 2026 before edging slightly up to £1,737 in October 2026.
  • British Gas: British Gas’s energy price cap forecast on 2 March 2026 is for it to rise to £1,710 in July 2026, then falling again slightly to £1,705 in October 2026.
  • Cornwall Insights predicted on 4 March that the price cap will increase to £1,801 from July 2026, adding the rise was a “cause for concern”. and warning any increase would also feed through to electricity prices.
  • However, it said the final price cap figure would be based on average wholesale prices over a three-month period, meaning that it would depend on how long gas prices stayed elevated and how long the period of volatility continued.
  • In late February 2026, before the US-Israel conflict with Iran started, the energy price cap was predicted to remain around the same level for the rest of 2026.

But one way to protect against the impact of rising prices is by fixing your energy deal.

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How accurate are these energy price cap predictions likely to be?

The further ahead the forecast, the less likely it is to be accurate.

British Gas says: Global events play a big role. For example, if the conflict in Ukraine or tensions in the Middle East escalate, wholesale gas prices could rise – which may lead to higher energy bills in the future.​ Ofgem are also continuing to review how the price cap is calculated, and any future changes could affect prices.

Should I fix my energy bill?

  • Yes. Consumers are being urged to shop around for cheaper energy deals. Ofgem says shopping around and switching to a fixed deal could lead to an annual saving on energy bills of £200.

“I want to remind people that you don’t have to pay the price cap – there are better deals out there so it’s important to shop around, and talk to your existing supplier about the best deal they can offer you,” said Tim Jarvis, director general of markets at Ofgem.

While energy bills expert Martin Lewis is urging people to take action, saying: “Important: If you can get off the energy price cap right now, you should and urgently”

“The wholesale gas rate is spiking due to the conflict in the Middle East, and it is a prime driver of UK electricity prices. If that’s sustained (big if), it will likely push the [Energy] Price Cap rate up from July,” he said

“Some of the cheap fixes from before the weekend haven’t (yet) been pulled, so you can still lock in a rate at around 14% less than the current Price Cap, both saving you money and giving peace of mind that the rate can’t rise.

“Plus, fix now, and unprecedentedly the rate you lock in at will be reduced on 1 April.

But bear in mind that exactly what will happen to energy prices in the longer term is subject to debate and global developments.

Use our free tool to compare energy deals and see instantly how much you can save on energy costs by switching your provider.

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What will the impact on energy bills be?

This table illustrates how much energy prices have increased in recent months and what’s going to happen in April.

Time periodEnergy price cap amount
Old cap: 1 Apr – 30 Jun 2025Up 6.4% to £1,849
Previous cap: 1 Jul – 30 Sep 2025Down 7% to £1,720
Previous cap: 1 Oct – 31 Dec 2025Up 2% to £1,755
Current cap 1 Jan – 31 Mar 2026Up 0.2% to £1,758

Current energy price cap rates in March 2026

If you’re one of the 21 million households in the UK on a standard variable tariff, here’s how the new price cap will change how much you pay:

CURRENT price cap rates from 1 Jan to 31 Mar 2026FUTURE price cap rates from 1 Apr to 30 Jun 2026
GasUnit rate: avg. 5.93p per kWh Standing charge: 35.09p per dayUnit rate: avg. 5.74p per kWh Standing charge: 29.09p per day
ElectricityUnit rate: avg. 27.69p per kWh Standing charge: 54.75p per dayUnit rate: avg. 24.67p per kWh Standing charge: 57.21p per day

Am I on the energy price cap?

  • If you’re wondering if this affects you, the Ofgem price cap applies to around 21 million households on variable energy tariffs – so it sets what two thirds of homes in England and Wales will pay. You’ll know you’re affected if you are on a tariff called something like standard, flexible or variable rate rather than fixed.

How the energy price cap works 

  • The energy price cap limits the unit rates and standing charges energy suppliers can charge for their standard tariffs.
  • However, the energy price cap figure – currently £1,758 per year- is based on the usage of a ‘typical’ household using gas and electricity and paying by Direct Debit.
  • It’s not the maximum you’ll pay. If you use more energy than a typical household, you’ll pay more than the price cap and if you use less, your bill will be lower.

Factors influencing prices

UK households have been facing increased energy costs since 2022, when the conflict between Russia and Ukraine broke out. While energy costs aren’t as high as the peaks we’ve seen, energy prices are still high and unaffordable for many.

In terms of April’s energy price fall, Dr Craig Lowrey, Principal Consultant at Cornwall Insight, said: “It’s the drop in policy costs, as a result of Government interventions, that is doing most of the heavy lifting and, while wholesale costs have come back into the headlines in recent weeks, the impact on April’s bills is minimal.”

Avoid rising energy prices and save money by switching to a fixed energy deal. Find out instantly how much you can save with our free switching service today

Switch energy supplier, save money

Compare energy deals, see how much you can save on electricity and gas, switch provider today.

Compare energy deals

Can I save if I switch now?

  • Yes, most people will save on their energy bill by shopping around and switching to a cheap fixed tariff or a variable deal that charges less than the energy price cap.
  • We’ve partnered with The Energy Shop to provide you with an instant tool for comparing tariffs and seeing how much you can save.
  • It’s also a good time to check for the best deal if you’re moving house, if your current supplier has poor customer service or you want a specialist tariff such as an EV tariff.
  • When comparing deals, check how long the fixed deal lasts for and whether you’ll need to pay an exit fee if you leave early.

Paula Higgins, Chief Executive of the HomeOwners Alliance, says, ‘You don’t need to accept these higher energy prices. We advise people to shop around and switch energy suppliers to ensure you’re on the best deal for you.’

Use our tool powered by The Energy Shop to compare energy suppliers to see how much you can save by switching energy provider.

Switch energy supplier, save money

Compare energy deals, see how much you can save on electricity and gas, switch provider today.

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Standing charge changes

Can I get help with energy bills?

Yes, some help is available for energy bills. For example, individual energy companies have hardship funds. Also, if you’re a pensioner and weren’t eligible for the winter fuel allowance last year, you may be eligible this year.

In June 2025, Chancellor Rachel Reeves confirmed that pensioners in England and Wales with an annual income of £35,000 or below will now be eligible – around nine million people.

More than 10 million pensioners had lost the payment, worth up to £300 last year, when it was paid only to those on pension credit. Find out more in our guide on Energy grants and how to get them.

Avoid rising energy prices by shopping around and switching to a fixed energy deal. Find out instantly how much you can save with our free switching service today

Switch energy supplier, save money

Compare energy deals, see how much you can save on electricity and gas, switch provider today.

Compare energy deals

Ofgem’s energy price cap history

Here are the historic price changes to Ofgem’s energy price cap, which shows how energy bills have increased and decreased in recent years.

Price cap periodOfgem energy price capPrice cap change vs previous period
October-December 2025£1,755+2%
July – September 2025£1,720-7%
April – June 2025£1,849+6.4%
January – March 2025£1,738+1%
October – December 2024£1,717+10%
July – September 2024£1,568-7%
April – June 2024£1,690-12%
January – March 2024£1,928+5%
October – December 2023£1,834-7%
July – September 2023£1,976-37%
April – June 2023£3,116*-23%
January – March 2023£4,059*20%
October – December 2022£3,371*80%
Summer 2022£1,87754%
Winter 2021/22£1,21612%
Summer 2021£1,0849%

Source: Ofgem data. *This was replaced by the £2,500 Energy Price Guarantee

How to keep energy bills low

Once you’ve shopped around for the best energy deal, the other way to save on energy bills is to use less. You can do this by:

  • Insulating your home: There are all sorts of ways you can make your home more energy efficient from relatively inexpensive and very effective options like installing loft insulation, to more expensive undertakings like fitting double glazing or replacing your boiler. See if you can get a grant for a boiler upgrade and whether you can access any other help with our guide on energy grants. For more information see also our guide on how to make your home more energy efficient.
  • Draught-proofing your home: Professional draught proofing of windows, doors and blocking cracks in floors and skirting boards can cost around £250, but can save around £45 a year on energy bills. DIY draught proofing can be much cheaper. For this and more affordable tips, see our guide on How to keep your house warm for less.
  • Turn down your thermostat: Turning it down by 1 degree could cut your heating bills by up to 10%. You can also cut your heating bills by installing certain heating controls. If you don’t already have a room thermostat, installing one could save up to £70 a year. And consider getting a smart thermostat, which allows you to control your heating from your smartphone or tablet.

For more ideas read our Top 10 Energy Saving Tips guide

Switch energy supplier, save money

Compare energy deals, see how much you can save on electricity and gas, switch provider today.

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