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When will energy prices go down?

Energy prices fell by 7% in July for millions of households. But energy prices are still high and forecast by some to rise again in October. We look at how to save on your energy bills.

will energy prices go down

AT A GLANCE

When will energy prices go down? A summary

  • Energy prices fell by 7% for millions of households on 1 July 2025.
  • But energy costs are still high following recent energy bills hikes and some forecasts predict energy prices will rise again in October.
  • So take action. Ofgem says consumers could save £200 a year on energy bills by switching energy suppliers and fixing their deal.  

Use our free tool to compare energy deals and see instantly how much you can save on energy costs by switching your provider.

When will energy prices go down in 2025

Energy bills fell by 7% on 1 July 2025 for millions of UK households when the new energy price cap, set by Ofgem, came into force.

  • This means a typical annual bill for a dual-fuel customer paying by direct debit is £1,720, down from the previous level of £1,849.

But you don’t need to pay these energy prices. Ofgem says you could save around £200 a year by shopping around and fixing your tariff. Plus, by fixing your deal you’ll be protected against potential future energy bills hikes.

July 2025 energy price cap predictions – latest news

Ofgem announces its next price cap around 6 weeks ahead of it coming into force. But a number of energy price cap forecasts are made much further in advance.

  • EON: EON’s energy price cap forecast made on 23 June 2025 is for the price cap to increase to £1,782 in October 2025 and then rise again to £1,817 in January 2026.
  • EDF: While EDF’s gas and electricity prices forecast on 23 June 2025 is for the price cap in the UK to increase to £1,778 in October 2025, before rising again to £1,809 on 1 January 2025.
  • Cornwall Insight: On 1 July it forecast the energy price cap will fall to £1,697 in October. But Cornwall Insight said there was ‘significant uncertainty’ over the forecast.
  • British Gas: While British Gas’s energy price cap forecast on 23 June 2025 is for it to increase in October 2025 to £1,730 before falling to £1,725 in January 2026.

How accurate are these energy price cap predictions likely to be?

The further ahead the forecast, the less likely it is to be accurate.

British gas says, ‘The energy market has been more stable recently, but surprises can happen. Global politics play a big role in energy prices. For example, if conflicts in Ukraine, or the Middle East worsen, wholesale gas prices could go up. This would eventually mean higher bills.’

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Should I fix my energy bill

Yes. Consumers are being urged to shop around for cheaper energy deals despite July’s price cap drop. Ofgem says shopping around and switching to a fixed deal could lead to an annual saving on energy bills of £200.

“I want to remind people that you don’t have to pay the price cap – there are better deals out there so it’s important to shop around, and talk to your existing supplier about the best deal they can offer you,” said Tim Jarvis, director general of markets at Ofgem.

Plus, it will provide added protection against future energy bills hikes if the predictions that energy prices will rise again in October are correct.

Some 35% of households are currently on fixed energy tariffs compared to just 15% a year ago when fewer deals were available.

There are also energy deals available that track under the energy price cap. Or that follow the energy price cap’s unit rates but have lower standing charges. So make sure you shop around and switch energy suppliers ASAP if you find a better deal.

But bear in mind that exactly what will happen to energy prices in the longer term is subject to debate and global developments.

Use our free tool to compare energy deals and see instantly how much you can save on energy costs by switching your provider.

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What will the impact on energy bills be?

July’s energy price cap fall will see energy bills go down for millions of households. But it’s important to note that the reduction in energy costs will come after a succession of price hikes.

This table illustrates how much energy prices have increased in recent months.

Time periodEnergy price cap amount
Old cap: 1 October -31 December 2024Up 10% to £1,717 a year
Old cap: 1 January – 31 March 2025Up 1.2% to £1,738 a year
Old cap: 1 April – 30 June 2025Up 6.4% to £1,849
Current cap: 1 July-31 September 2025Down to £1,720

Current energy prices in July 2025

If you’re one of the 21 million households in the UK on a standard variable tariff, here’s how the new price cap will change how much you pay:

PREVIOUS Energy price cap rates from 1 April to 30 June 2025CURRENT Energy price cap rates from 1 July to 30 September 2025
GasUnit rate: av 6.99 per kWh Standing charge: 32.67p per dayUnit rate: av 6.33 per kWh Standing charge: 29.82p per day
ElectricityUnit rate: av 27.03p per kWh Standing charge: 53.80p per dayUnit rate: av 25.73p per kWh Standing charge: 51.37p per day

Am I on the energy price cap?

  • If you’re wondering if this affects you, the Ofgem price cap applies to around 21 million households on variable energy tariffs – so it sets what two thirds of homes in England and Wales will pay. You’ll know you’re affected if you are on a tariff called something like standard, flexible or variable rate rather than fixed.

How the energy price cap works 

  • The energy price cap limits the unit rates and standing charges energy suppliers can charge for their standard tariffs. However, the Energy Price Cap figure – currently £1,720 per year- is based on the usage of a ‘typical’ household using gas and electricity and paying by Direct Debit. It’s not the maximum you’ll pay. If you use more energy than a typical household, you’ll pay more than the price cap and if you use less, your bill will be lower.

Factors influencing prices

UK households have been facing increased energy costs since 2022, when the conflict between Russia and Ukraine broke out. While energy costs aren’t as high as the peaks we’ve seen, energy prices are still high and unaffordable for many.

Avoid rising energy prices and save money by switching to a fixed energy deal. Find out instantly how much you can save with our free switching service today

Switch energy supplier, save money

Compare energy deals, see how much you can save on electricity and gas, switch provider today.

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What’s the long term energy price forecast in the UK?

Cornwall Insight says, ‘The cap still remains hundreds of pounds above pre-pandemic prices, even when adjusting for inflation. Furthermore, there is little indication that prices will reduce substantially over the next few years’.

Can I save if I switch now?

  • Yes, most people will save on their energy bill by shopping around and switching to a cheap fixed tariff or a variable deal that charges less than the energy price cap.
  • We’ve partnered with The Energy Shop to provide you with an instant tool for comparing tariffs and seeing how much you can save.
  • It’s also a good time to check for the best deal if you’re moving house, if your current supplier has poor customer service or you want a specialist tariff such as an EV tariff.
  • When comparing deals, check how long the fixed deal lasts for any whether you’ll need to pay any exit fees.

Paula Higgins, Chief Executive of the HomeOwners Alliance, says, ‘Households have welcomed the fall in energy prices but after so many energy bills hikes, bills are still high. We advise people to shop around and switch energy suppliers to ensure you’re on the best deal for you.’

Use our tool powered by The Energy Shop to compare energy suppliers to see how much you can save by switching energy provider.

Switch energy supplier, save money

Compare energy deals, see how much you can save on electricity and gas, switch provider today.

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Standing charge changes

  • Energy regulator Ofgem is proposing to force energy firms to give customers the choice of energy tariffs with or without a standing charge.
  • Many households believe standing charges are unfair as they don’t have any control over how much they’re charged.
  • Ofgem recently carried out a consultation on the proposals that looked at a system of two tariffs, where the one without a standing charge would have a higher price for each unit of energy. Both would fall under the existing price cap system.
  • However, some charities say the plans are complex and could leave some vulnerable customers to make the wrong choice.

Can I get help with energy bills?

Yes, some help is available for energy bills. For example, individual energy companies have hardship funds. Also, if you’re a pensioner and weren’t eligible for the winter fuel allowance last year, you may be eligible this year.

In June 2025, Chancellor Rachel Reeves confirmed that pensioners in England and Wales with an annual income of £35,000 or below will now be eligible – around nine million people.

More than 10 million pensioners had lost the payment, worth up to £300 last year, when it was paid only to those on pension credit. Find out more in our guide on Energy grants and how to get them.

Avoid rising energy prices by shopping around and switching to a fixed energy deal. Find out instantly how much you can save with our free switching service today

Switch energy supplier, save money

Compare energy deals, see how much you can save on electricity and gas, switch provider today.

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Ofgem’s energy price cap history

Here are the historic price changes to Ofgem’s energy price cap, which shows how energy bills have increased and decreased in recent years.

Price cap periodOfgem energy price capPrice cap change vs previous period
July – September 2025£1,720-7%
April – June 2025£1,849+6.4%
January – March 2025£1,738+1%
October – December 2024£1,717+10%
July – September 2024£1,568-7%
April – June 2024£1,690-12%
January – March 2024£1,928+5%
October – December 2023£1,834-7%
July – September 2023£1,976-37%
April – June 2023£3,116*-23%
January – March 2023£4,059*20%
October – December 2022£3,371*80%
Summer 2022£1,87754%
Winter 2021/22£1,21612%
Summer 2021£1,0849%

Source: Ofgem data. *This was replaced by the £2,500 Energy Price Guarantee

How to keep energy bills low

Once you’ve shopped around for the best energy deal, the other way to save on energy bills is to use less. You can do this by:

  • Insulating your home: There are all sorts of ways you can make your home more energy efficient from relatively inexpensive and very effective options like installing loft insulation, to more expensive undertakings like fitting double glazing or replacing your boiler. See if you can get a grant for a boiler upgrade and whether you can access any other help with our guide on energy grants. For more information see also our guide on how to make your home more energy efficient.
  • Draught-proofing your home: Professional draught proofing of windows, doors and blocking cracks in floors and skirting boards can cost around £250, but can save around £45 a year on energy bills. DIY draught proofing can be much cheaper. For this and more affordable tips, see our guide on How to keep your house warm for less.
  • Turn down your thermostat: Turning it down by 1 degree could cut your heating bills by up to 10%. You can also cut your heating bills by installing certain heating controls. If you don’t already have a room thermostat, installing one could save up to £70 a year. And consider getting a smart thermostat, which allows you to control your heating from your smartphone or table

For more ideas read out Top 10 Energy Saving Tips guide

Switch energy supplier, save money

Compare energy deals, see how much you can save on electricity and gas, switch provider today.

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