Feb 2016 House Price Watch

Feb 2016 House Price Watch indicates house prices are up on average 1.0% in the past month and up 6.7% in the past year

Feb 2016 House Price Watch average of indices

Biggest monthly rise in house prices for almost 2 years

 

Feb 2016 House Price Watch indicates that house prices increased on average 1.0% in the past month; the biggest rise we have seen since March 2014.  The average annual rise in house prices climbs to 6.7%.

 

Home sales are also up.  UK home sales are up 1.9% between November and December and up 11.6% year on year (seasonally adjusted HMRC).

 

Feb 2016 House Price Watch Comparison of Indices

January activity suggests planned stamp duty changes may already be helping first-time buyers

 

Rightmove report welcome news for first-time-buyers with a 6.6% year on year rise in the number of new instructions with two bedrooms or fewer; the highest rise since 2007.

 

Price rises of one and two bedroom properties are static according to Rightmove data suggesting the impending rise in stamp duty to 3% on Buy-to-Let/ second homes may be having an impact already.

 

Underlying economic conditions: rising employment, wages and continued low interest rates are expected to sustain strong demand. Initial activity in the new year suggests that seller enquiries are picking up (up a modest 1.8% year on year uplift in newly marketed properties according to Rightmove). With continued strong demand and supply increasing, early signs in 2016 point to an active year for the housing market.

 

There remains a significant gap between demand and supply and upward pressure on house prices is expected to continue.  Concerns remain that construction activity will fall short of demand, house prices will rise and eventually reduce affordability.

 

Regional Summary

 

Regional Land Registry data from December indicates that average monthly house prices have risen significantly in a number of regions:  up 2.1% in London, up 1.7% in the East, up 1.2% in Yorkshire & Humber and up 1.1% in the South East and West Midlands.

 

Feb 2016 House Price Watch Regional Data

 

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To see how we calculate our House Price Watch click here and to see previous reports click here